馬龍

國際熱錢避險 黃金上看2000美元

中國時報

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追蹤

洪凱音／台北報導

2020年7月8日 上午4:10

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28 則留言

熱錢大挪移，全球疫情第2波來襲、國際地緣政治緊繃，諸多不確定因素交錯下，推升金價行情高漲，目前已攀上9年新高；瑞銀看好「避險一哥」黃金特質，將下半年金價的預測值從1800美元調高至1900美元，高盛也預期將突破2011年、1920美元高點，直指2000美元大關；瑞士鑄金商龐博集團（MKS PAMP Group）預期，黃金多頭走勢可維持至2021上半年。

北市金銀珠寶商業同業公會榮譽理事長李文欽說，「鈔票印太多、貨幣將貶值」，大家擔心鈔票遭稀釋，不要美元了，加上存款利率趨近於零、實體經濟又不太好，泡沫愈吹愈大，黃金成了錢太多、沒地方去的投資工具，預估年底前金價上看2000美元。

美國知名外匯經紀商分析師安達（Oanda）表示，股市是目前最大風險變數，第2波疫情興起，可能導致全球經濟再次停擺，預期將有更多資金湧入包含黃金在內的避險性資產。

元大投信黃金研究團隊分析，疫情讓美國聯準會（Fed）貨幣政策轉向寬鬆，聯準會主席鮑威爾更指出，聯準會中短期內應維持寬鬆貨幣政策，國際主要央行一同吹起「降息風」，也令美元指數缺乏大漲動能，不論是低利率環境，抑或弱勢美元格局，都有助對金價形成支撐。

元大投信坦言，金價已攀上9年新高，隨疫情壟罩全球，美國單日新增病例數創紀錄，提升了2度封鎖關閉的可能性，國際政經情勢也不樂觀，在眾多不確定因素影響下，金價中長線仍看多，金價拉回之際，反而是投資人逢低進場的好時機；李文欽認為，黃金佔資產配置5％至10％最恰當，現在當「買份保險」、分散資產風險。

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馬龍

避險需求助攻 黃金現貨近九年來首次漲破1,800美元

聯合新聞網

35k 人追蹤

追蹤

編譯林奕榮／綜合外電

2020年7月9日 上午6:24

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留言

今年以來黃金的吸引力持續增強，主因投資人在新冠疫情重創經濟之際尋求避風港，推升避險需求。

黃金現貨8日上漲逾1%，報每英兩1,813.52美元，自2011年11月以來首次突破每英兩1,800美元。今年以來，黃金現貨上漲約20%。

紐約黃金期貨今年來上漲逾19%，8日早盤一度上漲0.95%，報每英兩1827.1美元。

彭博新聞分析，如果突破1,800美元的走勢能維持下去，便可能足以吸引動能交易員的興趣，進而推升金價至歷史新高，站上1,920美元。

疫情對經濟的衝擊，促使各國央行推出規模龐大的刺激方案，也使資金持續流向黃金ETF。美國多州的疫情感染病例和死亡人數7日升至紀錄高點，亞特蘭大聯邦準備銀行總裁波斯提克（Raphael Bostic）表示，疫情升溫可能危及美國經濟復甦步調；這些消息，均對金價提供支撐。

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回復 442# 馬龍

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馬龍

扯！中國珠寶商貸款680億 黃金擔保竟是「假的」

2020/06/29 17:48   

中國爆出企業醜聞，有珠寶商被多間金融機構發現，提供的黃金擔保竟是假黃金。（示意圖，彭博）

〔財經頻道／綜合報導〕在那斯達克上市的中國大型黃金首飾製造商「武漢金鳳珠寶」近5年來頻頻尋求融資，以83公噸的黃金作為擔保，向10幾間主要為信託公司的金融機構貸款160億人民幣（約新台幣677.6億元），但後來多間機構發現自己被「坑慘」了，原來這些黃金，居然是銅鍍金的假黃金。

《財新》報導，金鳳珠寶提供假黃金作擔保的事情，最早是因為金鳳在2019年底違約，東莞信託在今年2月清點擔保品的時候，發現這些黃金居然是假的，此事震撼中國信託界，金鳳的最大債主，中國民生信託得到法院批准，提前檢驗那些黃金擔保，在5月下旬的時候檢驗結果出爐，那些黃金也是假的。

除了東莞信託及中國民生信託以外，還有恆豐銀行及另外1間機構在檢驗後發現，作為擔保的黃金是假的。

另外，目前也尚未確定金鳳珠寶用於擔保的黃金，是一開始就是偽造品，或在抵押後被調包，因為東莞信託及中國民生信託均表示，黃金在存入銀行之前曾經過第三方檢驗，而銀行也沒有這些黃金存入後，曾被提領過的紀錄。

金鳳珠寶之所以要尋求這麼多融資，主因是為了收購企業的股權，但有來自湖北的消息人士透露，近年來金鳳的業務其實不如表面上看來的穩定，消息人士向《財新》聲稱「我們都知道他根本沒有那麼多黃金，他擁有的只是一些銅」，因此「湖北當地幾乎沒有信託或銀行業者，願意與金鳳有金融上的往來」。

而確實的，公開的資料顯示，金鳳珠寶向中國10幾間機構尋求融資，但幾乎沒有機構來自湖北。

目前中國當局已介入調查此事，而數間信託公司也聯合發動訴訟以捍衛自己的權利。

https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3212165

馬龍

憂爆第二波疫情 金價逼近8年新高

華視

2020年6月23日 下午12:57

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留言

台北市 / 綜合報導

世界衛生組織週日宣布，全球超過18萬3千人確診，這是新冠病毒疫情爆發以來，最高單日新增確診人數。緊接著南韓週一宣布，第二波疫情到來，不少投資者擔心經濟前景，因此提高了黃金的避險需求。

現在金價突破每盎司1750美元的水準，今年以來截至6月19日，全球黃金的持倉累計增加了683公噸，其中北美市場的持倉增加427公噸，歐洲市場也增加了219公噸，亞洲以及其他地區分別增加了23公噸與13公噸。金價今年已上漲15%，逼近2012年以來的最高水平。

https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E6%86%82%E7%88%86%E7%AC%AC%E4%BA%8C%E6%B3%A2%E7%96%AB%E6%83%85-%E9%87%91%E5%83%B9%E9%80%BC%E8%BF%918%E5%B9%B4%E6%96%B0%E9%AB%98-045700339.html

馬龍

有鬼！產量、庫存都增加，價格不跌反漲！

有心人在佈局，等著準備要傾家蕩產的人跳進來，引君入甕！

小心哪～～

（流浪占星師 馬龍 6-11-2020）

雖美原油庫存創紀錄高位 國際油價仍收高

2020/06/11 08:53

https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3194220

馬龍

油價：海灣國家表態停止額外減產，布蘭特期油週一急跌3.6%，紐約油下挫3.4%

財訊快報

陳孟朔

2020年6月9日 上午7:40

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留言

【財訊快報／陳孟朔】石油輸出國家和產油盟國(OPEC+)同意延長減產協議執行期，但沙烏地阿拉伯、科威特和阿聯酋表示不打算將118萬桶/日的自願額外減產延長到6月底之後，衝衝衝的油價週一升勢急踩煞車，紐約期油和布蘭特期油同步回吐逾3%，雙雙自三個月高點跌落。但紐約期油在拉回前，一度衝破40美元阻力。

連七紅的布蘭特8月期油週一挫跌1.50美元或3.6%，結算價報每桶40.80美元，前七個交易日大漲6.85美元或19.3%。同日，紐約7月期油跌1.36美元或3.4%，為五個交易日首黑，收報每桶38.19美元，前四個交易日急漲4.11美元或11.6%，日高在40.44美元為3月6日以來最高。

OPEC、俄羅斯與其他產油國週六同意，將創紀錄減產協議延長至7月底，這項減產協議將全球原油供應削減近10%。

但沙烏地阿拉伯能源大臣阿卜杜勒阿齊茲親王週一表示，沙國及其海灣盟友科威特和阿聯酋將在7月停止自願額外減產。

Rystad Energy分析師Bjornar Tonhaugen表示，「在我們看到出現供應短缺的時候，總計近1,100萬桶/日的自願減產延長一個月，這太好，不可能是真的。」

與此同時，隨著油價反彈，『美國頁岩油生產商已經開始重啟此前關閉的油井』。

分析師們表示，這可能會削弱脆弱的需求復甦，並破壞OPEC支撐油價的努力。此外，沙國提高原油售價，因預計需求會增強。

全球最大原油進口國中國表示，5月原油進口量創紀錄，為1,130萬桶/日。

https://www.google.com/search?sxsrf=ALeKk03og-_es14Bevax8CrYU-gmZOKaQA%3A1591839352610&ei=eIrhXvDvJLnFmAWuooHQDQ&q=Gubio+Nigeria+time+zone&oq=Gubio+Nigeria+time+zone&gs_lcp=CgZwc3ktYWIQAzoECCMQJzoECAAQHjoFCCEQoAE6BwghEAoQoAFQvydYo0hg7UpoAHAAeACAAUmIAcgIkgECMjGYAQCgAQGqAQdnd3Mtd2l6&sclient=psy-ab&ved=0ahUKEwjwi5vZz_jpAhW5IqYKHS5RANoQ4dUDCAw&uact=5

馬龍

供應緊縮 沙國大幅上調全球7月油價

華視

2020年6月8日 下午7:00

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4 則留言

/ 綜合報導

全球油價將上漲！在原油供應緊縮的影響下，沙烏地阿美石油公司宣布，將上調全球所有地區，7月份的原油價格。以沙烏地阿拉伯為首的石油輸出國家組織以及其他產油國，日前召開視訊會議，同意把4月達成的歷史性減產協議，延長到7月底，也就是承諾從5月1號起到6月底，每天減產原油970萬桶，並從7月開始，逐步縮減到每天減產770萬桶，直到年底。

在確認延長減產規模後，沙烏地阿美石油公司，決定上調對全球所有市場的原油售價，像是對亞洲客戶，阿拉伯輕質原油官方售價，比六月售價上調到每桶6.1美元，讓油價再出現波動。

https://tw.news.yahoo.com/news/%E4%BE%9B%E6%87%89%E7%B7%8A%E7%B8%AE-%E6%B2%99%E5%9C%8B%E5%A4%A7%E5%B9%85%E4%B8%8A%E8%AA%BF%E5%85%A8%E7%90%837%E6%9C%88%E6%B2%B9%E5%83%B9-110000943.html

馬龍

雖美原油庫存創紀錄高位 國際油價仍收高

2020/06/11 08:53   

國際油價週三上漲。（資料照，路透）

〔財經頻道／綜合報導〕國際油價週三（10日）反彈收高，儘管美國原油庫存升至紀錄高點。

《路透》報導，紐約西德州中級原油7月交割價上漲0.66美元，或1.7%，收每桶39.60美元，盤中跌幅一度超過2%。

布蘭特原油8月交割價上漲0.55美元，或1.3%，收每桶41.73美美元。

根據美國能源資料局（EIA）報告，截至5日當週，原油庫存增加570萬桶，至5.3810億桶。不過對油品需求有所上升，蒸餾油庫存增加，但增幅小於前幾週。

能源機構Lipow Oil Associates總裁李包（Andrew Lipow）表示，我們看到市場的支撐來自成品油，而非原油。

https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3194220

馬龍

馬龍

剛剛 · 

公開

四月裡，石油期貨價格跌到負值，有人破產，有人發大財，真相到底是如何，至今仍無人能解。如今，原油期貨價格又蠢蠢欲動，大概又有人在佈局，等待大撈一筆了！小心哦，六月底、七月初時將會再來負值大跌，千萬不要上了這些國際老千的當，千萬不要追高啊！